jdotson
Well-known member
Coastal Weather Research Center Clients,
Major Hurricane Gordon is passing several hundred miles east of Bermuda this morning with 120 mph winds. The storm is moving toward the north-northeast at 13 mph and is in the process of recurving into the open Atlantic. Gordon poses no threat to the United States.
Tropical Storm Helene has developed in the tropical eastern Atlantic.
The storm is located about 700 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands and is moving toward the west at a brisk 22 mph. A persistent weakness in the subtropical Bermuda-Azores high pressure system has existed over the last several weeks in the vicinity of Bermuda and has allowed several recent storms to recurve northward into the open Atlantic without threatening the United States. It appears that this high pressure weakness will persist east of the U.S. Atlantic Coast during Helene's lifetime, thus providing a likely early northward recurvature for this storm as well. Helene is not expected to become a threat to the United States.
An El Nino has "officially" formed (as of this week) in the tropical Eastern Pacific and is expected to last into the spring of 2007. An El Nino is a dramatic warming of the waters in the tropical central and eastern Pacific Ocean. This type of pattern tends to enhance hurricane activity in the eastern Pacific, but severely limits activity in the Atlantic basin, particularly in the Caribbean Sea. As I mentioned a few weeks ago per an earlier e-mail, I believe the development of this El Nino has resulted in a significant lack of hurricane activity in the Caribbean Sea, western Atlantic, and Gulf of Mexico for the last several weeks. This trend is likely to continue through the rest of the hurricane season. However, this is not to say that a tropical storm or hurricane will not threaten the U.S. at some point this fall. It is still possible that a tropical cyclone may form later this season in a position to threaten the U.S., but the likelihood of several storms threatening is relatively low.
Major Hurricane Gordon is passing several hundred miles east of Bermuda this morning with 120 mph winds. The storm is moving toward the north-northeast at 13 mph and is in the process of recurving into the open Atlantic. Gordon poses no threat to the United States.
Tropical Storm Helene has developed in the tropical eastern Atlantic.
The storm is located about 700 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands and is moving toward the west at a brisk 22 mph. A persistent weakness in the subtropical Bermuda-Azores high pressure system has existed over the last several weeks in the vicinity of Bermuda and has allowed several recent storms to recurve northward into the open Atlantic without threatening the United States. It appears that this high pressure weakness will persist east of the U.S. Atlantic Coast during Helene's lifetime, thus providing a likely early northward recurvature for this storm as well. Helene is not expected to become a threat to the United States.
An El Nino has "officially" formed (as of this week) in the tropical Eastern Pacific and is expected to last into the spring of 2007. An El Nino is a dramatic warming of the waters in the tropical central and eastern Pacific Ocean. This type of pattern tends to enhance hurricane activity in the eastern Pacific, but severely limits activity in the Atlantic basin, particularly in the Caribbean Sea. As I mentioned a few weeks ago per an earlier e-mail, I believe the development of this El Nino has resulted in a significant lack of hurricane activity in the Caribbean Sea, western Atlantic, and Gulf of Mexico for the last several weeks. This trend is likely to continue through the rest of the hurricane season. However, this is not to say that a tropical storm or hurricane will not threaten the U.S. at some point this fall. It is still possible that a tropical cyclone may form later this season in a position to threaten the U.S., but the likelihood of several storms threatening is relatively low.
